BIBLIOTECA MANUEL BELGRANO - Facultad de Ciencias Económicas - UNC

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The mexican peso crisis : overview and analysis of credibility factors / Paul R. Masson, Pierre-Richard Agenor.

Por: Colaborador(es): Tipo de material: TextoTextoSeries IMF working paper ; 96/6Detalles de publicación: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1996Descripción: iii, 19 p. : ilTema(s): Clasificación CDD:
  • 332.414097
Resumen: This paper examines credibility and reputational factors in explaining the December 1994 crisis of the Mexican peso. After reviewing events leading to the crisis, a model emphasizing the inflation-competitiveness trade-off is presented to explain the formation of devaluation expectations. Estimation results indicate that investors appear to have seriously underestimated the risk of devaluation, despite early warning signals. The collapse of confidence that followed the December 20 devaluation may have been the result of a shift in the perceived commitment of the authorities to axchange rate stability.
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Documento Documento Biblioteca Manuel Belgrano Depósito F-D 332.414097 M 17651 (Navegar estantería(Abre debajo)) Enlace al recurso Disponible 17651 F

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This paper examines credibility and reputational factors in explaining the December 1994 crisis of the Mexican peso. After reviewing events leading to the crisis, a model emphasizing the inflation-competitiveness trade-off is presented to explain the formation of devaluation
expectations. Estimation results indicate that investors appear to have seriously underestimated the risk of devaluation, despite early warning signals. The collapse of confidence that followed the December 20 devaluation may have been the result of a shift in the perceived commitment of the authorities to axchange rate stability.

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