TY - BOOK AU - Bartolini, Leonardo AU - Prati, Alessandro TI - Soft exchange rate bands and speculative attacks : : theory, and evidence from the ERM since August 1993 U1 - 332.456094 PY - 1998/// CY - New York, N.Y. PB - Federal Reserve Bank of New York KW - POLITICA MONETARIA KW - TIPO DE CAMBIO KW - MARGEN DE FLUCTUACION KW - EUROPA KW - BANDA DE FLUCTUACION KW - CAMBIO EXTERIOR N1 - Bibliografía: p. 28-30 N2 - We present a model of a "soft" exchange rate target zone and interpret it as a stylized description of the post-August 1993 ERM. Our central bank targets a moving average of the current and past exchange rates rather than the exchange rate's current level, thus allowing the rate to move within wide margins in the short run but within narrow margins in the long run. For realistic parameters, soft target zones are significantly less vulnerable to speculative attacks than "hard"target zones. These predictions are consistent with the ERM's experience and the abatement of speculative pressure in European markets since the bands' widening in 1993 UR - https://www.newyorkfed.org/medialibrary/media/research/staff_reports/sr43.pdf ER -