000 01585nam a2200301 a 4500
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008 160831s1996 dcu||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
040 _aarcduce
_carcduce
082 0 _a332.414097
100 1 _aMasson, Paul R.,
_d1946-
_99909
245 1 4 _aThe mexican peso crisis :
_boverview and analysis of credibility factors /
_cPaul R. Masson, Pierre-Richard Agenor.
260 _aWashington, D.C. :
_bInternational Monetary Fund,
_c1996
300 _aiii, 19 p. :
_bil.
490 0 _aIMF working paper ;
_v96/6
504 _aIncluye bibliografĂ­a.
520 3 _aThis paper examines credibility and reputational factors in explaining the December 1994 crisis of the Mexican peso. After reviewing events leading to the crisis, a model emphasizing the inflation-competitiveness trade-off is presented to explain the formation of devaluation expectations. Estimation results indicate that investors appear to have seriously underestimated the risk of devaluation, despite early warning signals. The collapse of confidence that followed the December 20 devaluation may have been the result of a shift in the perceived commitment of the authorities to axchange rate stability.
650 4 _aCRISIS MONETARIA
_91237
650 4 _aINFLACION
_9282
650 4 _aDEVALUACION
_94728
650 4 _aMODELOS ECONOMETRICOS
_975
651 4 _aMEXICO
_9822
653 4 _aTEORIA DE LA INFLACION
700 1 _aAgénor, Pierre-Richard,
_d1957-
_93763
942 _cDOCU
_jF-D 332.414097 M 17651
_2ddc
945 _aBEA
_c2016-08-31 corregido
999 _c10403
_d10403